Yesterday, Yougov released their MRP poll for the December election and it predicts that Penarth and Cardiff South will remain as a safe Labour Seat.

This is the only poll that correctly predicted the likelihood of a hung parliament in the 2017 general election.

The survey questioned 100,000 people over the course of seven days and adapted answers to account for age, gender, voting history and local political circumstances in individual constituencies.

According to the Yougov MRP poll these are the current predictions for Cardiff South and Penarth:

Labour - Est 50% (Low - 42% vs. High - 49%)

Conservatives - Est 28% (Low 21% - High - 35%)

Liberal Democrats - Est 8% (Low 4% - High - 13%)

Brexit Party - Est 6% (Low - 2% High - 11% )

Plaid Cymru - Est 5% (Low 0% - High - 14% )

Green - Est 3% (Low 1% - High - 6%)

Other - 0%

Wales, more generally, is predicted to lose Labour seats gained in the previous election. YouGov's MRP poll suggest the Headline seats for Wales will be: Lab 24 (down from 28), Con 12 (up from 8), Plaid Cymru 4 (the same).

Find out more from the MRP poll by clicking the red button below.